Chicago Fed National Activity Index for July in the United States

The market looks like a SpaceX rocket: straight to the sky . 1.#HOLD# - 2.#HIVP# - 3.#MULTI# - 4.#ISME - 5.#GOV#

It's TGE szn 👀 Word is a certain network might be stepping into TGE soon 🚀 This is the community taking the driver's seat in building verifiable AI When trust is the moat, a certain token becomes the layer everyone plugs into

The golden September and silver October are approaching, and the entire market has begun to heat up. This period not only brings challenges but also nurtures huge opportunities. Last Friday, Powell's speech caused severe fluctuations in the market, and this week the market fell again. This series of changes has eliminated most retail investors. If you are still holding onto your chips during this wave of turbulence, you have already surpassed most people. Now might be the right time to seize the opportunity and set sail again. Although the probability of a rate cut in September is as high as 82%, overall, the likelihood of a 50 basis point cut is relatively small, and a 25 basis point cut is more likely. However, a 25 basis point cut may not meet the current market's overheating expectations, which could impact the further direction of the market in the second half of the year. After the market fell again this week, the trend has become clearer. If it breaks below 110,000 points, it means a phase peak has already appeared. Unless there is a short-term breakthrough above 117, from a larger cycle perspective, the market is likely to break through the support level of 0.618 in this small cycle, and then test the Fibonacci 0.5-0.618 range of the larger cycle, which is at the level of 105-100. For small investors holding over 10,000 USDT, as long as they can flexibly respond to market changes and are good at seizing mid-to-short term trading opportunities, achieving returns of 5 times or even 10 times during this market trend is not impossible. However, investors should also act cautiously and fully recognize the risks of the market.

In the cryptocurrency market, newbies often ask whether it is technology or luck that determines the success or failure of a trade. However, after ten years of immersion in the market, I firmly believe that mindset is the key to success. From the initial anxiety when entering the market to now being able to remain calm in the face of market fluctuations, I have witnessed many technical analysis experts suffer heavy losses due to psychological breakdowns, while some investors with average skills have steadily profited by mastering the patterns of the market. Today, I will share five practical trading strategies in the hope of providing some reference for everyone. First of all, Bitcoin, as the market leader, usually dominates the overall trend. Most altcoins follow Bitcoin's fluctuations, with few independent market movements. Ethereum, as a project with strong fundamentals, can occasionally carve out its own market path. Investors need to pay close attention to Bitcoin's trend in order to determine the overall market direction. Secondly, Bitcoin has a negative correlation with the price of USDT. When USDT appreciates, Bitcoin may face downward pressure; conversely, if Bitcoin rises significantly, consider exchanging it for USDT in a timely manner to lock in profits and avoid losses from subsequent pullbacks. Third, price fluctuations often occur between 0-1 AM. Domestic investors can set low-price limit orders for the cryptocurrencies they want to buy before going to bed, while also setting high-price sell orders for the cryptocurrencies they hold. This way, they may gain unexpected profits by the time they wake up in the morning. Fourth, 5 PM is an important observation time point. This time coincides with the activation of the American market, often leading to significant price changes. It is recommended that investors closely monitor market dynamics during this time to seize important investment opportunities. In the end, the so-called "Black Friday" effect is not reliable. Although there have indeed been instances of significant declines on Fridays, there are also cases of increases or sideways movements. It is recommended that investors do not overly rely on this pattern, but instead focus on the actual market information of the day and make decisions based on their own strategies. Overall, achieving stable returns in the cryptocurrency market is not reliant on luck, but rather requires a deep understanding of the market, grasping the rhythm, and maintaining a stable mindset. Whether you are a Newbie or an experienced investor, as long as you are willing to learn diligently and strictly implement trading strategies, even starting with small amounts of capital, there is an opportunity to achieve stable profits in this market. The key is to maintain patience, continue learning, and continuously accumulate experience through practice.

For investors following the development of LUNC (Luna Classic), there is a dedicated webpage to view its deflation information in real-time. It is worth noting that the total supply of LUNC is decreasing day by day, which is a long-term process, and we should not overly focus on short-term price fluctuations. Latest data shows that the total amount of LUNC has decreased by 4.37 million today. In contrast, on August 14, it decreased by 470 million, indicating a significant difference between the two. However, this does not mean that the user base of LUNC is shrinking; rather, it reflects a noticeable reduction in the activities of large holders (commonly known as "whales") at the current price level. In fact, the deflation rate of LUNC is closely related to the transfer demand of large holders. This is because LUNC employs a unique mechanism: a high transaction fee of 0.5% is charged on large transfers. For example, transferring 100 million LUNC requires a fee of 500,000 LUNC, and if the transfer amount reaches 1 billion, a fee of 5 million LUNC is required. This mechanism highlights the unique value of LUNC. It does not merely rely on simple deflation or exchange-supported burn; more importantly, it establishes a unique public chain ecosystem that imposes high fees on large transactions. This design helps to curb market manipulation while creating value for long-term holders. Although the deflation rate may slow down in the short term due to reduced activity from large holders, the long-term development prospects of LUNC are still worth following. With changes in the market environment and potential technological upgrades, LUNC may attract more attention and application scenarios, thereby affecting its future deflation rate and value direction.