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Breed Report: Bitcoin reserve companies face survival challenges, industry reshuffle may occur in 2025.
On June 29, according to reports, the latest report from venture capital firm Breed shows that Bitcoin reserve companies are becoming a major trend by 2025, but only a handful of experienced and disciplined companies are expected to survive future market fluctuations. Many Bitcoin treasury companies may fall into a "death spiral," especially those whose stock prices are close to their net asset value (NAV).
The Breed report details seven stages of decline for Bitcoin reserve companies: starting with the drop in Bitcoin prices, leading to a decrease in the Multiple Net Asset Value (MNAV), making it difficult for companies to obtain debt and equity financing. As credit dries up and debts come due, margin calls will force companies to sell Bitcoin, further depressing market prices, which could trigger industry consolidation or even a prolonged market downturn. Currently, most companies are using equity rather than debt financing to purchase Bitcoin, which may limit the overall market impact, but if debt financing becomes mainstream, the situation could worsen.