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The June CPI report may determine the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut, affecting expectations for a rate cut in October.
On July 15, according to analysis reports, the June CPI report will significantly impact the market's expectations for the Fed's next policy move. Currently, the market anticipates a greater likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates in October. If the data exceeds expectations, even far beyond expectations, the Fed will wait until October to cut rates. However, if the data is moderate compared to expectations, the Fed is expected to maintain interest rates in July and cut rates in September. In short, regarding monetary policy, the June CPI report will reveal who is correct, Trump or Powell.