2025 Crypto Market Outlook: 4 Scenarios and 11 Predictions

Since the beginning of 2024, the crypto market has experienced a bull market cycle. After the launch of the Bitcoin ETF on January 10, the price of Bitcoin has continued to hit new highs, driving the altcoin market. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is hovering around $90,000.

It is worth noting that altcoin market trends often start when Bitcoin reaches its peak. The first wave was when Bitcoin surged to $69,000, and the second wave could be when Bitcoin breaks $100,000. The next round of altcoin market trends is expected to appear in the first quarter of 2025, but it could also replicate the situation of the second/third quarter of 2024. Here are four possible market scenarios:

Scenario 1: Bitcoin and altcoins rise across the board

The market will rise comprehensively in 2025, replicating the trend of the past two months. (30-40% possibility )

Strategy: Choose high-quality altcoins and buy on dips.

Scenario 2: Bitcoin rises, some altcoins rise

Similar to the trend in 2024, but overall more optimistic. (50-60% probability )

Strategy: Select high-quality altcoins to buy on dips, avoid popular tracks, and look for potential coins.

Scenario 3: Bitcoin rises, altcoins generally fall

(20-30% possibility)

Strategy: Reduce or clear altcoins, consider selling all if there has been no increase for a long time.

Scenario 4: Bitcoin and altcoins both decline

The market has peaked ( 10-20% probability )

Due to the favorable macro environment, a new historical high for Bitcoin could be reached faster than 2024. Last summer, when the ETF was just launched, the market reacted slowly, but now the importance of Bitcoin has been widely recognized.

The new government’s focus on digital assets, along with Bitcoin becoming a hot topic, is beneficial for market development. Therefore, Bitcoin is expected to continue rising in 2025. The situation with altcoins is similar but slightly different.

Overall, the market outlook for 2025 is optimistic, but caution is still needed:

• The Bitcoin price increase is expected to exceed that of 2024.
• Overall, altcoins are bullish, but volatility may be significant.

potential risks

Cycle Top Currently, we are not yet close to the cycle peak, but continuous assessment is needed. The peak is often a range that forms gradually rather than a specific event.

Bitcoin Reserve Program If the new government completely ignores the reserve plan, it will be a bearish factor. However, even if the plan is delayed, it will still be bullish for Bitcoin in the long term.

Supply Pressure The large-scale unlocking and listing of Bitcoin may bring short-term pressure, but it also creates buying opportunities on dips.

Macroeconomic Risk As long as interest rates continue to decline, the improvement in liquidity will be beneficial for the market. However, if inflation rebounds leading to interest rate hikes, it will be detrimental.

investment opportunity

1. Artificial Intelligence

The next wave of AI hype may be around the corner. It is recommended to pay attention to subfields such as application technology, Swarms, gaming, and consumer-level AI.

2. DeFi

DeFi is still an important track, but the investment difficulty is relatively high. You may consider top projects like AAVE, ENA, Morpho, etc.

3. Public Chain

Public chains are expected to make a comeback, with new public chains like SUI worth paying attention to.

4. NFT and Game Tokens

Some NFT project tokens may experience a rebound. At the same time, pay attention to quality game projects that will issue tokens soon.

5. Other Opportunities

including data tokens, Meme coins, DePIN, Ordinals and other emerging fields.

2025 Predictions for 11 Items

1. A large company will implement the DePIN project.
2. A certain exchange's market share will surpass Binance.
3. Metaverse tokens gain new opportunities with VR advancements
4. The ICO Resurgence
5. There has been no significant altcoin market on the Ethereum chain.
6. The price of a certain public chain token has surpassed 10 dollars.
7. Ethereum ETF staking approved, giving rise to more staking yield products
8. Famous artists use NFTs and tokens to manage fans
9. The price of Bitcoin reached $200,000
10. More public chain founders resign
11. A certain emerging public chain surpasses Base and competes with Solana.