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Fed senior official Daly recently made statements that have drawn widespread attention on Wall Street. She indicated that there is a high possibility of at least two interest rate cuts this year, potentially starting as early as September. This remark injected a strong dose of confidence into the market, while also bringing new hope to the crypto assets market.
Daily's perspective stems from the contradictory nature of current economic data. On one hand, consumer growth is not meeting expectations; on the other hand, factory gate prices have unexpectedly risen. At the same time, there are signs of cooling in the employment market, and overall economic growth is slowing down. This complex situation presents a dilemma for the Fed in policy-making: whether to continue suppressing inflation or to prevent the employment market from deteriorating excessively.
Daly emphasized that she does not wish to overlook the health of the labor market due to an excessive focus on inflation. She believes that if the timing of interest rate cuts is not handled properly, it could cause unnecessary harm to the labor market. This statement implies that future non-farm payroll reports and unemployment rate data may be more valuable for reference than CPI inflation data.
This is undoubtedly positive news for the crypto assets market. Expectations of liquidity easing often inject vitality into the crypto market. However, investors still need to be cautious, as fluctuations in inflation data may trigger short-term market volatility.
In the long run, if the Fed can successfully achieve an economic "soft landing"—that is, control inflation while realizing a moderate economic slowdown—this will create a favorable environment for high-risk assets such as crypto assets. Although market volatility is inevitable in the short term, as long as the overall trend of a cooling job market and economic slowdown remains unchanged, the direction of policy easing is difficult to reverse.
For investors, the key is to remain vigilant and not be distracted by short-term market noise. At the same time, closely follow economic data and policy trends to seize market opportunities in a timely manner. In this rapidly changing financial environment, obtaining accurate information and in-depth analysis in a timely manner will become key factors for investment success.